• MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0686

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Wed May 8 01:34:36 2024
    ACUS11 KWNS 080134
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 080134=20
    WIZ000-080230-

    Mesoscale Discussion 0686
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0834 PM CDT Tue May 07 2024

    Areas affected...Southeast Wisconsin

    Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely=20

    Valid 080134Z - 080230Z

    Probability of Watch Issuance...5 percent

    SUMMARY...Strong wind gusts and marginally severe hail may occur
    with storms in southeast Wisconsin. Low potential for a brief
    tornado exists.

    DISCUSSION...Very modest recovery occurred behind earlier
    convection. A semi-organized line of convection will continue east
    along the cold front. The warm sector is quite narrow between the
    cold front and warm front/lake breeze boundary. Strong wind gusts
    and perhaps marginally severe hail is possible with this activity
    before weakening. Right along the boundary interface, some weak
    easterly winds exist. Some weak surface vorticity exists and could
    lead to a very brief spin-up within the line. Between diurnal
    cooling and the cooler temperatures farther east, the threat should
    last another hour or so.

    ..Wendt/Hart.. 05/08/2024

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!4nJMx4yQlLpu8RCDDubE09WGNbq6J2pSVbU45UB0pumLX-e25K6EyIlq1kJl0ud77tCqbaQAm= P0phE94eXoqLWPV69M$ for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...MKX...

    LAT...LON 42978872 43268881 43418899 43568926 43718940 43768919
    43728887 43578845 43318799 43068795 42778796 42608806
    42578836 42538870 42978872=20


    =3D =3D =3D
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