• MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0548

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Sat Apr 27 22:52:10 2024
    ACUS11 KWNS 272252
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 272251=20
    OKZ000-TXZ000-280015-

    Mesoscale Discussion 0548
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0551 PM CDT Sat Apr 27 2024

    Areas affected...Southern Plains

    Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 146...

    Valid 272251Z - 280015Z

    The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 146
    continues.

    SUMMARY...Severe threat continues across western/central Oklahoma
    into northwest Texas.

    DISCUSSION...Latest satellite imagery suggests large-scale ascent is
    gradually spreading east across the southern High Plains, per
    thickening mid-high cloudiness noted into the TX Panhandle. Later
    this evening the mid-level speed max will round the base of the
    trough and translate into southwest OK. LLJ will strengthen ahead of
    this feature along the I35 corridor along with low-level shear.

    Southwest-northeast oriented corridor of convection, currently
    observed from northwest TX into southwest OK, may not move
    appreciably east over the next few hours until large-scale forcing
    shunts this region downstream later tonight. Upscale growth may
    occur as the aforementioned jet approaches in conjunction with the
    LLJ. Environmental parameters continue to favor supercells, and
    tornadoes, but some of this activity may exhibit linear
    characteristics along with clustering.

    Overall, severe threat is expected to linger well into the overnight
    hours with a gradual shift east later this evening.

    ..Darrow.. 04/27/2024

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!6ml2xeXo6n1gmgNrhrluVGw2tMloyd6u7uxLorAv79Ns_5H_rH46ygB7eenzHSP5HrFwkcgJd= lcnU6gYnE8GJXafPYE$ for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...TSA...FWD...OUN...LUB...

    LAT...LON 33480027 36959934 36979680 33509783 33480027=20


    =3D =3D =3D
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  • From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Sat Apr 27 23:31:08 2024
    ACUS11 KWNS 272331
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 272330 COR
    OKZ000-TXZ000-280015-

    Mesoscale Discussion 0548
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0630 PM CDT Sat Apr 27 2024

    Areas affected...Southern Plains

    Concerning...Tornado Watch 146...

    Valid 272330Z - 280015Z

    CORRECTED FOR TORNADO WATCH

    The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 146 continues.

    SUMMARY...Severe threat continues across western/central Oklahoma
    into northwest Texas.

    DISCUSSION...Latest satellite imagery suggests large-scale ascent is
    gradually spreading east across the southern High Plains, per
    thickening mid-high cloudiness noted into the TX Panhandle. Later
    this evening the mid-level speed max will round the base of the
    trough and translate into southwest OK. LLJ will strengthen ahead of
    this feature along the I35 corridor along with low-level shear.

    Southwest-northeast oriented corridor of convection, currently
    observed from northwest TX into southwest OK, may not move
    appreciably east over the next few hours until large-scale forcing
    shunts this region downstream later tonight. Upscale growth may
    occur as the aforementioned jet approaches in conjunction with the
    LLJ. Environmental parameters continue to favor supercells, and
    tornadoes, but some of this activity may exhibit linear
    characteristics along with clustering.

    Overall, severe threat is expected to linger well into the overnight
    hours with a gradual shift east later this evening.

    ..Darrow.. 04/27/2024

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!5exMtOE8MlCX-S6tYLTwvhxpPY22vNBhVOJ95dJMUb8OddJwAK3MAb37yA58v10hev3Yw0mGf= aRlkQmsex2b4mn_Nik$ for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...TSA...FWD...OUN...LUB...

    LAT...LON 33480027 36959934 36979680 33509783 33480027=20


    =3D =3D =3D
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