ACUS11 KWNS 260453
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 260453=20
ALZ000-MSZ000-LAZ000-260700-

Mesoscale Discussion 0305
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1153 PM CDT Mon Mar 25 2024

Areas affected...Mississippi...Western Alabama...Far Eastern
Louisiana

Concerning...Tornado Watch 62...

Valid 260453Z - 260700Z

The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 62 continues.

SUMMARY...A wind damage and isolated tornado threat is expected to
continue for a couple more hours across parts of eastern and
south-central Mississippi. Weather watch issuance may be needed
later tonight in parts of far southern Mississippi and southern
Alabama.

DISCUSSION...The latest mosaic radar imagery shows a linear MCS
ongoing from east-central into southern Mississippi, with a few
embedded strong to severe storms. The northern half of the line is
in very weak instability with the RAP showing MLCAPE generally below
250 J/kg. An isolated wind-damage threat may persist before the
northern part of the line moves into western Alabama, where the
airmass is relatively stable. Farther to the south-southwest, the
airmass is more unstable across parts of southeastern Mississippi,
with the RAP suggesting MLCAPE is in the 500 to 1000 J/kg range. In
addition, RAP forecast soundings after midnight in southeast
Mississippi have 0-6 km shear near 65 knots, with 0-3 km
storm-relative helicity around 500 m2/s2. As the line moves eastward
across southeast Mississippi over the next few hours, this
environment could support an isolated tornado threat. Damaging wind
gusts will also be possible with the more intense sections of the
line.

..Broyles.. 03/26/2024

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!5DCdMLZRPn2mHb2ozLEYeFWHXf1D_uYnmAKgN7vVvC6wWzK7yXvSenf3yKUB4Qm0ZLMftagOc= 1_h-hAfW-hgX2a_Dc0$ for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...BMX...MOB...JAN...LIX...

LAT...LON 33368874 32598932 31849008 31389055 30769072 30538997
30718886 32458768 33258761 33568799 33578831 33368874=20


=3D =3D =3D
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