1. Forum
  2. FidoNet
  3. WEATHER

  • MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0294

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Sun Mar 24 21:37:35 2024
    ACUS11 KWNS 242137
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 242137=20
    TXZ000-OKZ000-KSZ000-242330-

    Mesoscale Discussion 0294
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0437 PM CDT Sun Mar 24 2024

    Areas affected...Western Kansas...Western Oklahoma...Northwest Texas

    Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 59...

    Valid 242137Z - 242330Z

    The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 59
    continues.

    SUMMARY...Large hail, wind damage and an isolated tornado threat are
    expected over the next few hours, as storms move eastward through WW
    59 late this afternoon into early evening.

    DISCUSSION...The latest surface analysis shows a 987 mb low over far
    southeast Colorado with a dryline extending southward from near the
    low along the Texas-Oklahoma state line and into northwest Texas.
    Strong to severe thunderstorms are ongoing just to the east of the
    dryline form southwest Kansas into western Oklahoma and northwest
    Texas. The airmass east of the dryline is weakly unstable, with
    MLCAPE estimated by the RAP in the 500 to 1000 J/kg range. The
    WSR-88D VWP at Frederick has 0-6 km shear near 60 knots, with some
    veering with height in the lowest 2 km. The strong deep-layer shear
    is evident along most of the dryline due to the exit region of an
    approaching mid-level jet. As this feature moves across the southern
    and central Plains early this evening, lift and shear will support
    supercell development. Although large hail and wind damage will be
    the primary threats, a brief tornado or two could occur with the
    stronger rotating storms.

    ..Broyles.. 03/24/2024

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!6oi1fHNkHeyq0qkCIeBWAhktorXnHwWhSG0fCUJDZoENlyqZ3bK0uv4YuJ5ACSlJK4a_HjcWu= Ew5-6hL7Z6YcLnK9pE$ for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...FWD...OUN...DDC...SJT...GLD...LUB...AMA...

    LAT...LON 35979997 34159994 33320022 32760020 32599949 33179863
    34659825 36879843 38059900 38509959 38670007 38650070
    38430116 37980124 37080041 35979997=20


    =3D =3D =3D
    To unsubscribe from WX-STORM and you already have a login, go to https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link. Otherwise email Chris Novy at cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-STORM.

    --- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
    * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (1:2320/105)