ACUS11 KWNS 242053
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 242052=20
KSZ000-NEZ000-242215-

Mesoscale Discussion 0293
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0352 PM CDT Sun Mar 24 2024

Areas affected...northwestern Kansas into south-central Nebraska

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible=20

Valid 242052Z - 242215Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...40 percent

SUMMARY...Storms capable of severe hail and gusty winds will
increase in coverage this afternoon.

DISCUSSION...Day time heating is noted across western Kansas into
south-central Nebraska where temperatures have warmed into the mid
to upper 60s. Moisture across this region remains limited, with dew
points in the 40s. Forcing along the surface cold front to the west
amid steep mid-level lapse rates and cooling aloft has allowed
thunderstorms to development over the last hour. Further
thunderstorm development will be likely through the afternoon and
evening, with the potential for instances of severe hail and gusty
winds. Given the weak shear and poor thermodynamic profiles,
coverage of this threat is uncertain. This area will be monitored
for watch potential in the coming hour.

..Thornton/Hart.. 03/24/2024

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!7szXxI57cA9sS5hTbu9mdwajiOE3pBXa7l9pL5AYzxT6upB5UwnGhJzOHMP8NWvoKLQBCkV27= ug4IB1OMhY5Q-PlPeI$ for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...TOP...GID...DDC...GLD...

LAT...LON 40909946 41019911 40929861 40749828 40499796 40299781
39929790 39509840 39149927 38670065 38690143 38890153
39300092 39750049 40289994 40599969 40909946=20


=3D =3D =3D
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