1. Forum
  2. FidoNet
  3. WEATHER

  • MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0261

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Fri Mar 15 20:10:51 2024
    ACUS11 KWNS 152010
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 152009=20
    GAZ000-ALZ000-152145-

    Mesoscale Discussion 0261
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0309 PM CDT Fri Mar 15 2024

    Areas affected...portions of southern GA

    Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely=20

    Valid 152009Z - 152145Z

    Probability of Watch Issuance...5 percent

    SUMMARY...Isolated thunderstorms near a southward-sagging front may
    produce sporadic hail to near 1 inch in diameter and locally gusty
    winds through early evening. A watch is not expected at this time.

    DISCUSSION...Isolated thunderstorms ongoing near a southward-sagging
    boundary will continue into early evening. MUCAPE around 500-1000
    J/kg amid moderate 0-6 km effective shear will support organized
    cells. Most of this activity appears somewhat elevated just to the
    cool side of the surface boundary and forcing across the area is
    expected to remain weak/unfocused. However, RAP forecast soundings
    indicate elongated/straight hodographs and modest midlevel lapse
    rates. This will continue to support sporadic instances of hail to
    near 1 inch in diameter. If any storms can develop ahead of the
    boundary or remain anchored to the front, steep low-level lapse
    rates across southern GA may support strong gusts as well. At this
    time, severe potential/storm coverage is expected to remain low and
    a watch is not expected at this time.

    ..Leitman/Goss.. 03/15/2024

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!52QYuyXeV2X0vuz7lylf055zplDsjWbsPECmV0-YSh-q1kyKmrnjHTntgWxRu1ZiXOYfKYkNC= llMK4AHsxOHizoOY1o$ for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...CHS...JAX...FFC...TAE...BMX...

    LAT...LON 32318468 32648199 32188147 31858151 31568190 31308285
    31158372 31158437 31288477 31548502 31728509 31958510
    32118503 32318468=20


    =3D =3D =3D
    To unsubscribe from WX-STORM and you already have a login, go to https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link. Otherwise email Chris Novy at cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-STORM.

    --- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
    * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (1:2320/105)