ACUS11 KWNS 150431
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 150430=20
ARZ000-TXZ000-OKZ000-150500-

Mesoscale Discussion 0252
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1130 PM CDT Thu Mar 14 2024

Areas affected...Far Northeast Texas...Far Southeast
Oklahoma...Southern Arkansas

Concerning...Tornado Watch 45...46...

Valid 150430Z - 150500Z

The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 45, 46 continues.

SUMMARY...The severe threat across southern Arkansas and the
Ark-La-Tex is expected to continue to decrease over the next hour,
and the ongoing watches will be allowed to expire at 05Z.

DISCUSSION...An MCS is currently located from far northeast Texas
extending east-northeastward across western and central Arkansas.
The RAP suggests that instability has markedly decreased along the
southern edge of the MCS over the last hour. This trend will
continue, and the severe threat is expected to gradually diminish.
For this reason, the ongoing watches will be allowed to expire at
05Z. It still remains possible that the severe threat could
re-develop across parts of the region, but this would be later
tonight.

..Broyles.. 03/15/2024

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!5jbyy-1dDzRySuKOz_4PAK2-8o_QP-NAACB_EbbmTrm2wZodgMtV5wiown8wuZVLx1tm8ZAp-= Y7KjvQfXYaYDZPzzrk$ for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...LZK...SHV...TSA...FWD...

LAT...LON 33949121 33479247 33269385 33039497 32959559 33119590
33359602 33579595 33849573 34249477 34609278 34849150
34559110 33949121=20


=3D =3D =3D
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