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  • MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0250

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Fri Mar 15 02:57:27 2024
    ACUS11 KWNS 150257
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 150256=20
    ARZ000-TXZ000-OKZ000-150500-

    Mesoscale Discussion 0250
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0956 PM CDT Thu Mar 14 2024

    Areas affected...Far Southeast Oklahoma...Far Northeast
    Texas...Arkansas

    Concerning...Tornado Watch 45...

    Valid 150256Z - 150500Z

    The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 45 continues.

    SUMMARY...A severe threat will continue over the next few hours from
    far northeast Texas northeastward into central Arkansas.

    DISCUSSION...The latest mosaic radar imagery shows a broken line of
    strong to severe storms located across east-central Arkansas, with
    scattered more discrete cells from western Arkansas southward into
    the Ark-La-Tex. New convection appears likely to develop to the
    south of the ongoing storms across south-central Arkansas late this
    evening. In addition to moderate instability, 0-6 km shear in that
    areas is estimated to be near 50 knots according to the RAP. This
    will support continued severe storm development over the next couple
    of hours. Large hail and isolated wind damage will be possible with
    supercells. A locally greater wind-damage threat will possible ahead
    of short bowing line segments. In addition, low-level shear has
    increased across the region due to a strengthening jet near 850 mb.
    For this reason, a brief tornado still may occur.

    ..Broyles.. 03/15/2024

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!83IC8SnNKMtJ6Z4SaVDOQmwDtZV19bdz_sOPIZJmh-dZqf7htM6IhIJFDhot1-TBlxSOWVpis= nxFL92ki_lPNVz-lZg$ for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...LZK...SHV...TSA...FWD...

    LAT...LON 34109560 34629522 34949432 35139326 35289229 35319168
    35139144 34839146 34439168 33679206 33059291 33079454
    33169530 33389560 33889566 34109560=20


    =3D =3D =3D
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