ACUS11 KWNS 150158
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 150158=20
KYZ000-OHZ000-INZ000-ILZ000-150300-

Mesoscale Discussion 0249
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0858 PM CDT Thu Mar 14 2024

Areas affected...Far southeastern Illinois into southern Indiana

Concerning...Tornado Watch 43...44...47...

Valid 150158Z - 150300Z

The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 43, 44, 47 continues.

SUMMARY...Damaging winds will be the primary threat with an
organized line of storms moving into southern Indiana. A
line-embedded supercell will be capable of producing a tornado.

DISCUSSION...An organized line of convection with an embedded
supercell continues east into southern Indiana. This embedded
supercell has shown relatively strong low-level rotation and will be
the primary focus for tornado potential during the next hour.
Damaging winds will also be possible, particularly with the more
north-south oriented line. The KVWX VAD showed around 70 kts at
1-1.5 km AGL as the line passed. The eastward extent of the severe
threat is somewhat uncertain given the increasing CINH and
decreasing buoyancy. However, some destabilization is expected ahead
of this line and, with it being organized, it is probable it
persists for a few more hours.

..Wendt.. 03/15/2024

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!4l9VgE8oxTM0b1BuVK80WRmMQWoxFtwOwnahmmznnd5LfqPBzcLpQfChCHHRNcABThYJJBaG0= CZMvVXKxanJyDiSpZs$ for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...ILN...LMK...IND...PAH...ILX...

LAT...LON 37998716 37978782 38058812 38508798 38848788 39098714
39188580 39218467 38968437 38428451 38068604 38028672
37998700 37998716=20


=3D =3D =3D
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