ACUS11 KWNS 142326
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 142325=20
WVZ000-OHZ000-KYZ000-150100-
Mesoscale Discussion 0242
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0625 PM CDT Thu Mar 14 2024
Areas affected...Portions of southern and eastern Ohio into
northwestern West Virginia
Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely=20
Valid 142325Z - 150100Z
Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent
SUMMARY...Discrete storms have tried to initiate in southwestern
Ohio into northern Kentucky. Additional organized storms will
eventually reach the upper Ohio Valley later this evening. The need
for a watch is quite uncertain in the short term, but convective
trends will be monitored.
DISCUSSION...Storms have attempted to initiate in southwestern Ohio
into northern Kentucky. While it is not clear whether this activity
will mature, regional VAD profiles suggest that these storms would
be capable of large hail and tornadoes. Later in the evening, storms
currently in southern Illinois into central Indiana will likely
reach the upper Ohio Valley. An airmass supportive of severe storms
continues to try and work eastward. There is at least some
possibility that an organized line will reach these areas and
require a downstream watch. However, uncertainty remains too high to
issue one at this time. Convective trends will continue to be
monitored.
..Wendt/Hart.. 03/14/2024
...Please see
https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!8mKCMCXLiuqxA6RbENvq7ji_43X70ZsWxxjl3oCsqU4wBtNcAGTaseUcogflb9ifZz0AEkGAu= GiXynOKK8k6Iq5nTPM$ for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...PBZ...RLX...CLE...ILN...
LAT...LON 38828436 39058430 39198403 39208366 39358254 39698196
40018202 40608207 40978188 41178122 40838064 39578052
39018091 38318255 38478332 38828436=20
=3D =3D =3D
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