ACUS11 KWNS 142228
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 142228=20
OHZ000-INZ000-150000-

Mesoscale Discussion 0240
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0528 PM CDT Thu Mar 14 2024

Areas affected...Central Indiana into west-central Ohio

Concerning...Tornado Watch 44...

Valid 142228Z - 150000Z

The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 44 continues.

SUMMARY...Large/very-large hail will remain the primary threat with
ongoing storms. The tornado threat may increase early this evening
conditional on storms remaining discrete.

DISCUSSION...Storm coverage has continued to increase in central
Indiana into west-central Ohio. These discrete storms will continue
to be capable of large/very-large (1.5-2.5 in.) hail given the
strong deep-layer shear and steep mid-level lapse rates. Low-level
shear is not overly strong as surface flow remains rather veered.
However, there is an expected increase in the low-level jet within
the mid/upper Ohio Valley this evening. This 850 mb flow will also
be veered, but storms that can remain discrete into the early
evening may pose an increased risk of a tornado.

..Wendt.. 03/14/2024

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!8bAH0llUsOEV8sQh-z7nrxg32JgcBLXR2iTFUrSv6T0uJ9EwUFAeux4CdQOTiTabj-BRoRXWj= oKBwEZyAb4i_64WTaw$ for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...CLE...ILN...IWX...IND...

LAT...LON 40048734 40678692 41168419 40958300 40378308 40138324
39678503 39468670 39558720 40048734=20


=3D =3D =3D
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