ACUS11 KWNS 142051
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 142050=20
MOZ000-ARZ000-TXZ000-OKZ000-142215-

Mesoscale Discussion 0237
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0350 PM CDT Thu Mar 14 2024

Areas affected...Portions of far northeast TX into eastern
OK...AR...and southern MO

Concerning...Tornado Watch 42...43...

Valid 142050Z - 142215Z

The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 42, 43 continues.

SUMMARY...The damaging wind threat may be increasing across parts of
northern Arkansas and southern Missouri. A large hail and tornado
threat continues with any discrete thunderstorms. Depending on
convective trends, a new/downstream watch may eventually be needed
for parts of western Arkansas and vicinity.

DISCUSSION...Convection has generally grown upscale into multiple
bowing clusters across parts of east-central OK, northwestern AR,
and southern MO. Severe/damaging winds up to 50-70 mph should become
an increasing concern with this mainly linear convection. Still,
some threat for large hail and a couple tornadoes should persist
with any supercells that can remain discrete, or embedded within the
clusters, given modest but sufficient low-level shear and strong
deep-layer shear. Some attempts at robust convective development
have recently been noted across southeastern OK, with associated
threat for large to very large hail. Depending on convective trends,
additional watch issuance may be needed for parts of
western/southern AR, extreme southeastern OK, and vicinity over the
next couple of hours.

..Gleason/Goss.. 03/14/2024

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!_ynL4K3NCRkrghUIeMRUJGCBUAl5lPCVb_Sqc5PdIS1bX_C4S_hoDAhHx2cCmL9lwx7GCTl3Q= F5ZM8polDFJxADTZTQ$ for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...LZK...SGF...SHV...TSA...FWD...OUN...

LAT...LON 33679631 34339699 35119606 36209412 36729393 37479378
37619292 37439181 37069131 36249153 34739248 33889334
33459402 33509506 33679631=20


=3D =3D =3D
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