ACUS11 KWNS 080000
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 080000=20
OKZ000-TXZ000-080200-

Mesoscale Discussion 0200
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0600 PM CST Thu Mar 07 2024

Areas affected...Southern High Plains

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 31...

Valid 080000Z - 080200Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 31
continues.

SUMMARY...Hail continues to be the primary risk with storms this
evening.

DISCUSSION...Scattered thunderstorms, a few supercells, persist
across ww31. This activity continues to evolve along the eastern
plume of steeper lapse rates that extend across the southern High
Plains of west TX into northern OK. While large-scale forcing is not particularly noteworthy, low-level convergence is more than adequate
for renewed development east of the dryline, extending northeast
along the synoptic front over OK. Hail has been the most common
severe threat with this activity, and radar data suggests the most
robust updrafts are generating hail in excess of 1 inch. Over the
last hour or so, convection has gradually increased along the
synoptic front from north of CDS to near PNC. This corridor may
become more concentrated into the mid-evening hours as the boundary
advances slowly southeast.

..Darrow.. 03/08/2024

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!5f84aB0c28ebPMABlRiH7KLR8HRHLFPfzIUUYHSM_i3hoo48uMthu6Bb9jHjILzFVSMmUzmcq= Z7EVV7JRWcoGZHeOpQ$ for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...FWD...OUN...SJT...LUB...MAF...

LAT...LON 31080143 36989899 36999700 31079956 31080143=20


=3D =3D =3D
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