ACUS11 KWNS 111948
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 111947=20
MSZ000-LAZ000-112145-
Mesoscale Discussion 0130
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0147 PM CST Sun Feb 11 2024
Areas affected...Central Louisiana into portions of central
Mississippi
Concerning...Tornado Watch 20...
Valid 111947Z - 112145Z
The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 20 continues.
SUMMARY...Tornadoes and very large hail remain possible for storms
that can mature and interact favorably with the warm front in
central LA/MS.
DISCUSSION...Showers and thunderstorms continue to develop within
the warm sector across parts of central LA/MS. Observations have
shown the warm front has lifted very near or just north of Jackson,
MS. Overall mid-level ascent remains weak as the primary synoptic
trough lags to the west. However, forcing should continue to
steadily increase this afternoon and evening as the trough moves
east. It is likely that storms that can initiate will take time to
mature given the less than optimal background ascent. Storms that
can mature and interact with the warm front will pose a threat for
tornadoes, some potentially strong, and very large hail. With the
warm front slowly lifting north, the southern flank of activity in northern/central MS will have the potential to become surface based
with an attendant increase in severe weather threat.
..Wendt.. 02/11/2024
...Please see
https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!7DU5S9dyj5sO-Kn2zin7wtxN3fiBboqZ7OvxDbjhq7NBei2p3nw3Q4lFq1GRB1BjsDDW2Xj2z= gihHeNMtubIKM32_dE$ for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...JAN...LIX...LCH...SHV...
LAT...LON 30999351 31269321 31489256 31759195 32379105 32549023
32258985 31349000 30899086 30889097 30539247 30559317
30739341 30999351=20
=3D =3D =3D
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