ACUS11 KWNS 030548
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 030547=20
TXZ000-030715-

Mesoscale Discussion 0103
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1147 PM CST Fri Feb 02 2024

Areas affected...southeast Texas

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely=20

Valid 030547Z - 030715Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent

SUMMARY...A line of storms may produce strong to locally severe
gusts over southeast Texas over the next couple hours.

DISCUSSION...A line of storms is quickly surging east across
southeast TX, with widespread rain ahead of the system. Surface
temperatures are relatively cool with a saturated boundary layer,
but lower 60 F dewpoints are contributing to weak buoyancy. Given
the longevity of the outflow surge, this may be sufficient to
support a continuation toward the upper TX Coast later tonight.
Overall storm trends appear down over the last half hour, and as
such, a watch is not anticipated. However, a few strong winds gusts,
perhaps locally damaging, may occur with the passage of this system.

..Jewell.. 02/03/2024

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!-NfdDppH5YTQ95macWpMuo-S-sBnPSifbsF7bCTSPyKkSAOUb79Q3F0hmzzlm5PAl3GoVSfVo= 3tiRqUq6yMxMqeO4V4$ for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...HGX...CRP...

LAT...LON 28889717 29149664 29489648 29869662 30179640 30149613
30029537 29769506 29479468 29299462 28859517 28629575
28659632 28759702 28889717=20


=3D =3D =3D
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