ACUS11 KWNS 030213
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 030212=20
TXZ000-030415-

Mesoscale Discussion 0101
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0812 PM CST Fri Feb 02 2024

Areas affected...central and southern Texas

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 13...

Valid 030212Z - 030415Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 13
continues.

SUMMARY...Scattered storms may continue to pose a damaging wind and
marginal hail threat as they move across remaining parts of WW 13.
The threat area may include a few adjacent counties east of the
existing watch.

DISCUSSION...Scattered storms ahead of the primary cold front have
consolidated into two main clusters, both showing signs of either
damaging wind gusts or hail near 1.00". Surface analysis shows a
diffuse theta-e gradient north of CRP and extending northwestward
toward the Frio/La Salle County cluster, while farther north across
the San Antonio area, surface conditions are cooler but still
unstable.

Given the ongoing substantial storm clusters, damaging gusts will be
possible as the air mass remains sufficiently unstable to sustain
the ongoing convection, especially near the theta-e gradient.
Expected coverage of severe outside the watch is not forecast to
necessitate a new watch, though a few severe reports will be
possible.

..Jewell.. 02/03/2024

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!_JpObmGkjSXN8lQcCq-VZeW0sNGZg8IODgnpIqsj-_HXxgRVF92cINZXP96WW4NnTVKPaDbYi= bGsAZ4rM7N0LiQCwzo$ for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...CRP...EWX...

LAT...LON 27799985 28319954 28729955 29559916 29919907 30119918
30319890 30379835 30479764 30189711 28849702 28099722
27859757 27599950 27679969 27799985=20


=3D =3D =3D
To unsubscribe from WX-STORM and you already have a login, go to https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link. Otherwise email Chris Novy at cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-STORM.

--- SBBSecho 3.14-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (1:2320/105)