ACUS11 KWNS 272153
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 272152=20
FLZ000-GAZ000-272315-

Mesoscale Discussion 0095
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0352 PM CST Sat Jan 27 2024

Areas affected...Portions of the Florida Panhandle and far southwest
Georgia

Concerning...Tornado Watch 12...

Valid 272152Z - 272315Z

The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 12 continues.

SUMMARY...Strong to locally severe gusts remain possible across
portions of Tornado Watch 12 for the next few hours.

DISCUSSION...KTLH radar data shows a loosely organized convective
line tracking eastward across the eastern portion of the FL
Panhandle at around 45 kt this afternoon. Peak gusts associated with
this line of storms have been in the 40-50 mph range, primarily
focused over coastal areas where surface-based buoyancy has been
greatest (albeit weak). 40-50 kt of 0-6 km shear (per KTLH VWP data)
oriented oblique to the leading-edge gust front should continue
favoring an organized linear structure with embedded stronger/deeper
cores. Despite poor deep-layer lapse rates and weak inland buoyancy,
this favorable deep-layer shear and established cold pool should
support a continued risk of strong to locally damaging gusts and
perhaps a brief/weak tornado as the line continues eastward over the
next few hours.

..Weinman.. 01/27/2024

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!_Iytojs-hgchz9OHAMzvJYloLeebcQFAE8iobHM02Tq0nLjlhoBvHoH8E8CN9RRGjdFdaN8Bw= cFjeWosDxhR_N-5ogs$ for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...TAE...

LAT...LON 29928460 30398469 30778469 30918461 31018431 31008391
30898360 30528349 29948362 29728382 29738430 29928460=20


=3D =3D =3D
To unsubscribe from WX-STORM and you already have a login, go to https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link. Otherwise email Chris Novy at cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-STORM.

--- SBBSecho 3.14-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (1:2320/105)