• MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0080

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Mon Jan 22 01:07:19 2024
    ACUS11 KWNS 220107
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 220106=20
    OKZ000-TXZ000-220500-

    Mesoscale Discussion 0080
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0706 PM CST Sun Jan 21 2024

    Areas affected...southeastern Oklahoma

    Concerning...Freezing rain=20

    Valid 220106Z - 220500Z

    SUMMARY...Increasing potential for freezing rain with potential for
    quick ice accumulations.

    DISCUSSION...A region of light to moderate precipitation is observed
    moving northeastward into southwestern Oklahoma over the last hour.
    Surface temperatures are hovering around freezing near the Red River
    with a drop into the upper 20s moving northeast. With dew points in
    the teens, further reduction of temperatures through wet-bulb
    cooling can be expected as the heavier precipitation moves
    northward.=20

    The 00z sounding from OUN shows a pronounced warm nose from 925 mb
    to around 800 mb with surface temperatures below freezing. Though
    some dry air remains around 750 mb and near the surface, the profile
    has moistened. It is noteworthy that hi-res guidance is generally
    running a little warm over the last 12-24 hours in trends when
    compared to RTMA. The RAP and HRRR seem to be coming into better
    alignment with current conditions over the last 3-6 hours.
    Expectation is for freezing drizzle and rain to increase in coverage
    over the next few hours across southeastern Oklahoma. Locations
    that are already below freezing will likely see quick icing,
    especially across elevated surfaces. Given that ground temperatures
    are already below freezing, this will likely impact travel with
    slick conditions developing quickly through the next few hours.

    ..Thornton.. 01/22/2024

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!5FwmSzT3gkKvRJLjfMNEF5EaNaVORyIkrytAokOGiYugJLiw_CRA8JZAwvh43zf7JN9d4wLUc= -kvxzoiQOKFZyzlryo$ for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...TSA...FWD...OUN...

    LAT...LON 34409839 34739806 35189754 35339717 35429687 35479670
    35509649 35529618 35489581 35339562 35099550 34869540
    34629538 34369540 34169546 33979576 33869601 33819636
    33839667 33869713 33879733 33899783 33989814 34079836
    34409839=20


    =3D =3D =3D
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