ACUS11 KWNS 092349
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 092348=20
FLZ000-100115-

Mesoscale Discussion 0039
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0548 PM CST Tue Jan 09 2024

Areas affected...portions of central and southern Florida

Concerning...Tornado Watch 6...

Valid 092348Z - 100115Z

The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 6 continues.

SUMMARY...Ongoing QLCS will likely persist into this evening. Strong
wind profiles will support continued storm organization with a risk
for damaging gusts and isolated tornadoes. Local extension of WW6 or
a new small watch may be needed farther south.

DISCUSSION...As of 2345, the environment ahead of the ongoing QLCS
over central Florida remains moderately unstable and strongly
sheared. This should continue to support organized storms over
south-central Florida into this evening. A few stronger elements
have been noted within the broader QLCS with the potential for
damaging gusts owing to the strong background wind fields. 0-1km srh
of 300-400 m2/s2 from area VADS also suggest isolated tornadoes will
remain possible with the more organized parts of the QLCS.

Farther south, large-scale ascent will gradually weaken as the upper
trough lifts away to the north through the evening resulting in more
veered surface flow. However, relatively strong shear will likely
remain in place into parts of South Florida. At least some severe
risk may persist for a few hours tonight. A local extension of WW6
or a new small weather watch may be needed to cover the remainder of
the severe risk before storms begin to weaken and move offshore
overnight.

..Lyons/Thompson.. 01/09/2024

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!9YM1iB-I75lhRpdhPRDU3ZxkQM_XvG3ELk1jaz4L_f57Vymj3Vt8PeGrDrFB0XJt1jgRzu8Uw= 2aZ_J13ob6rs12dwNw$ for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...MFL...MLB...TBW...

LAT...LON 26748210 28148140 28458121 28518088 28328061 27528029
27148011 26888002 26598007 26298017 26068040 26028081
26088132 26118155 26198176 26748210=20


=3D =3D =3D
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