ACUS11 KWNS 092035
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 092034=20
FLZ000-092200-

Mesoscale Discussion 0037
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0234 PM CST Tue Jan 09 2024

Areas affected...Portions of north/central FL

Concerning...Tornado Watch 5...6...

Valid 092034Z - 092200Z

The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 5, 6 continues.

SUMMARY...The threat for damaging winds and embedded QLCS tornadoes
continues this afternoon.

DISCUSSION...A broken line of thunderstorms extends from far
northeast FL into the eastern Gulf of Mexico as of 2030Z. Both
low-level and deep-layer shear remain impressively strong across
these areas in association with a mid/upper-level cyclone centered
over the mid MS Valley/Midwest. With filtered diurnal heating
supporting around 500-1000 J/kg of MLCAPE, this line should maintain
its intensity as it moves eastward across the northern and central
FL Peninsula over the next couple of hours. Scattered damaging winds
up to 60-70 mph should remain the primary severe threat. But, with
the KTBW VWP still showing around 370 m2/s2 of 0-1 km SRH, the
threat for embedded QLCS tornadoes continues.

..Gleason.. 01/09/2024

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!45tvkyOrhEcQAPBMOIFr1R4AK4iYug5Wt5ySuCnezLba8AWgXYTDwEf6CSogdX8ILaphWnCD0= f4pDPOEWMd0NPPlyhA$ for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...MLB...TBW...JAX...

LAT...LON 28478285 29818203 30638172 30578140 30008129 29118120
27008250 27708315 28478285=20


=3D =3D =3D
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