ACUS11 KWNS 240255
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 240254=20
TXZ000-240430-

Mesoscale Discussion 2343
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0854 PM CST Sat Dec 23 2023

Areas affected...Western/Southwestern Texas

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 724...

Valid 240254Z - 240430Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 724
continues.

SUMMARY...Strong wind gusts and marginally severe hail threat will
shift east over the next few hours.

DISCUSSION...Large-scale forcing is shifting east ahead of
progressive short-wave trough. Over the last few hours, a disjointed
squall line has evolved from the southeast TX Panhandle, south
across the Edwards Plateau into northern Mexico. Along this line, a
fairly organized line segment, with some bowing, has evolved over
Crockett County and a weak MCV may be evolving northwest of Ozona.
This activity is progressing through the main instability axis and
probably has peaked in intensity. Even so, an organized line of
convection should advance beyond the eastern edge of ww724, along
with a risk for gusty winds/hail. Some consideration may be given to
adding a few counties to the eastern side of the watch to account
for this evolution.

..Darrow.. 12/24/2023

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!-6HCaQAuKve77Pe7nDZLfArOxW1x5mjioGNb2OzNZF-UYjDfYjSqVU3I5Cm71AY6jdYyeJSAC= JFE-1hY2be2t7Aj5zo$ for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...EWX...SJT...MAF...

LAT...LON 29740191 32320121 32300008 29800071 29740191=20


=3D =3D =3D
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