1. Forum
  2. FidoNet
  3. WEATHER

  • MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 2333

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Sun Dec 17 17:06:44 2023
    ACUS11 KWNS 171706
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 171706=20
    NCZ000-SCZ000-172100-

    Mesoscale Discussion 2333
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    1106 AM CST Sun Dec 17 2023

    Areas affected...parts of the coastal Carolinas

    Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible=20

    Valid 171706Z - 172100Z

    Probability of Watch Issuance...40 percent

    SUMMARY...A conditional risk of brief tornadoes or damaging gusts is
    forecast today, from the South Carolina upper coast toward coastal
    North Carolina. The risk is conditional on air mass recovery, and a
    watch may be considered.

    DISCUSSION...A surface low will deepen as it moves northeastward off
    the SC Coast today, along an existing baroclinic zone which is
    currently well offshore. Surface observations show cool air over
    land with gusty northeast winds, and this will likely maintain a
    decoupled boundary layer which should mitigate tornado and damaging
    gust potential in the near term.

    Later today, gradual warming is expected as the warm front shifts
    north along the coast. As winds veer to east and then southeast, a
    warmer and more unstable air mass will then support a risk of brief
    tornadoes and damaging gusts, as shear will remain strong along the
    warm front. Observational trends will continue to be monitored
    closely, along with satellite imagery, to ascertain when a potential
    watch may be needed later today.

    ..Jewell/Goss.. 12/17/2023

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!84XN4fO0wX19AzBXszlT5Zy6XXDkV2HIZE6WE5QsRIerUW00kQ-bQgzZQaX_glxEJAHckIkSN= x1SfyTTGVUZsi2ufp4$ for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...MHX...RAH...ILM...CHS...

    LAT...LON 33227967 33697946 34387880 34757814 34987730 34907648
    34607644 34627687 34437741 34157776 33787792 33847815
    33767866 33447904 33227909 32987932 32807958 32907973
    33227967=20


    =3D =3D =3D
    To unsubscribe from WX-STORM and you already have a login, go to https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link. Otherwise email Chris Novy at cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-STORM.

    --- SBBSecho 3.14-Linux
    * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (1:2320/105)