ACUS11 KWNS 102152
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 102151=20
FLZ000-102315-

Mesoscale Discussion 2328
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0351 PM CST Sun Dec 10 2023

Areas affected...Parts of north into west-central FL

Concerning...Tornado Watch 720...

Valid 102151Z - 102315Z

The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 720 continues.

SUMMARY...Some threat for locally damaging wind and/or a brief
tornado may persist through the remainder of the afternoon, but
additional watch issuance is considered unlikely.

DISCUSSION...An extensive band of convection has moved through north
into west-central Florida this afternoon. Storms have largely
remained subsevere thus far, with maximum wind gusts generally in
the 40-45 mph range. Deep-layer shear remains strong across the
region, and short-term guidance and the recent VWPs from KTBW
suggest there has been some increase in southwesterly low-level
flow. However, satellite and lightning trends indicate a general
decrease in storm intensity over the last hour. With stronger
large-scale ascent expected generally remain west and north of the
region, and limited potential for any additional destabilization,
substantial reintensification appears unlikely.=20

The strongest storms may pose a threat of isolated damaging wind and
perhaps a brief tornado through the remainder of the afternoon, but
with the threat expected to remain generally marginal and isolated,
additional watch issuance is unlikely after the 22 UTC expiration of
WW 720.

..Dean/Guyer.. 12/10/2023

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!-KoDs6rbY3-G12Nq4qaOU1J5ov1FcGTtGztBBjrgch_DutiuEUltFf3ZF34V1K-2SELsk72ED= 7ph0jvkchE1h88ZEGs$ for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...MLB...TBW...JAX...

LAT...LON 29228271 29618212 29408174 28488161 27688165 27308167
26898180 26708232 27158240 27648249 28058256 28848270
29228271=20


=3D =3D =3D
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