• MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 2327

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Sun Dec 10 18:46:04 2023
    ACUS11 KWNS 101845
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 101844=20
    FLZ000-GAZ000-102015-

    Mesoscale Discussion 2327
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    1244 PM CST Sun Dec 10 2023

    Areas affected...Parts of north FL

    Concerning...Tornado Watch 720...

    Valid 101844Z - 102015Z

    The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 720 continues.

    SUMMARY...Some uptick in the severe threat is possible this
    afternoon, including the potential for locally damaging wind and a
    brief tornado or two.

    DISCUSSION...The northern portion of an extensive QLCS is moving
    across the northern FL Peninsula early this afternoon. The inland
    portion of this QLCS has recently remained subsevere, but some
    diurnal heating and steepening of low-level lapse rates through the
    afternoon may support an uptick in damaging-wind potential as the
    line continues to move eastward, especially as a stronger line
    segment noted west-northwest of Tampa eventually moves onshore.
    Also, some increase in low-level flow/shear is expected with time,
    in response to a shortwave trough quickly approaching the area from
    the west. This may support some threat for a brief, line-embedded
    tornado or two later this afternoon.=20

    Some local expansion of the watch may be needed later this
    afternoon, depending on the evolution of offshore convection and
    also the line segment currently noted west of Jacksonville.

    ..Dean/Guyer.. 12/10/2023

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!-LrPa7z468DeNQN4H1eR6cp69aUEWTYcpmCVR5XNBtPBl1hoESFDTW9FmJkAG8geDaHPCjA2y= yc9zQzj1p1mK8c5fMs$ for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...TBW...JAX...TAE...

    LAT...LON 27928337 28478338 29078355 29588352 30228303 30268292
    30668266 30688224 30208197 29748202 29638208 28428237
    27998271 27928337=20


    =3D =3D =3D
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