ACUS11 KWNS 101203
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 101202=20
GAZ000-FLZ000-ALZ000-101330-

Mesoscale Discussion 2322
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0602 AM CST Sun Dec 10 2023

Areas affected...Portions of the FL Panhandle...southeastern
AL...and western GA

Concerning...Tornado Watch 719...

Valid 101202Z - 101330Z

The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 719 continues.

SUMMARY...An isolated severe threat continues.

DISCUSSION...As large-scale ascent associated with an upper trough
overspreads the Southeast, additional bands/clusters of convection
have developed over the past couple of hours across parts of the FL
Panhandle into southeastern AL and western GA. Messy storm modes and interactions, along with marginally favorable instability, have
generally tempered the overall severe threat to some extent. Still,
a narrow corridor of surface-based thunderstorm potential exists
along and just ahead of a southeastward-moving cold front. Strong
deep-layer shear and sufficient low-level shear will continue to
support updraft rotation in the short term with any embedded
supercells within the broader swath of convection. The most
favorable environment appears to be across parts of the FL Panhandle
and vicinity, where a brief tornado and strong/gusty winds remain
possible. More limited low-level moisture and weaker instability
into central GA suggest that ongoing convection should gradually
weaken as is moves eastward into a less favorable thermodynamic
environment.

..Gleason.. 12/10/2023

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!9HZ41rtEGSQqO9y3WetfmVhcWeL4YQzXa2ixYbXsjbncStxZ3mAFVupoDeYMWypTx2Cw7_kz1= WfqHFdS1g8ows86Y2A$ for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...FFC...TAE...BMX...

LAT...LON 30508626 31668570 32878446 32648376 30978476 29818508
29938559 30158597 30508626=20


=3D =3D =3D
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