• MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 2318

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Sun Dec 10 05:40:47 2023
    ACUS11 KWNS 100540
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 100540=20
    NCZ000-GAZ000-TNZ000-ALZ000-100645-

    Mesoscale Discussion 2318
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    1140 PM CST Sat Dec 09 2023

    Areas affected...portions of northern Georgia into far southeastern
    Tennessee

    Concerning...Tornado Watch 717...

    Valid 100540Z - 100645Z

    The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 717 continues.

    SUMMARY...The severe threat continues across Tornado Watch 717. A
    couple of damaging gusts are the main threat, though a tornado
    cannot be ruled out.

    DISCUSSION...Linear convection is progressing across Tornado Watch
    717, with a history of producing isolated bouts of sub-severe hail
    and scattered damaging gusts. These storms persist in a
    low-CAPE/high shear regime, which continues to support some
    organization. What little buoyancy remains continues to diminish in
    northern GA and points north and east, casting doubt on a more
    organized severe threat. However, low-level shear remains quite
    strong, so an additional damaging gust or even a tornado cannot be
    ruled out over the next few hours. Given the diminishing downstream
    buoyancy, convective trends will need to be closely monitored for
    the need of a downstream WW issuance or local extension.

    ..Squitieri.. 12/10/2023

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!8aqUcFIUUo4vCtX90yKm3Bv7EVC7uf3YWkaKlDZ5RMtgFEs7xhrOFIZ_yLma5jHPBWj44Xugu= My3XgzeYaH6UwnB7-w$ for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...GSP...MRX...FFC...BMX...HUN...

    LAT...LON 33948603 35308477 35568416 35378383 34798386 34348440
    33938487 33808519 33948603=20


    =3D =3D =3D
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