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  • MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 2224

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Wed Oct 4 00:19:13 2023
    ACUS11 KWNS 040019
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 040018=20
    KSZ000-NEZ000-OKZ000-040145-

    Mesoscale Discussion 2224
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0718 PM CDT Tue Oct 03 2023

    Areas affected...far northwest OK into central KS

    Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 702...

    Valid 040018Z - 040145Z

    The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 702
    continues.

    SUMMARY...The severe risk continues across WW702. Additional storm
    development and upscale growth is likely this evening.

    DISCUSSION...Over the last 90 min, storms across WW702 have produced
    numerous reports of severe hail and wind. A mixed mode of supercells
    and line segments has persisted within the unstable and moderately
    sheared air mass. This will likely continue with storms remaining
    well organized and capable of large hail damaging wind gusts, and a
    tornado or two.

    Additional storms have recently formed along the wind shift/surface
    confluence line in southwest KS and far northwest OK. 00z surface
    obs also show the cold front has begun moving eastward toward the
    warm sector. As the front and increasing low-level jet impinge on
    the warm and unstable air mass, further upscale growth into one or
    more clusters of severe storms appears likely. This is supported by
    recent HRRR runs which show increasing potential for damaging wind
    gusts into central KS tonight.

    ..Lyons.. 10/04/2023

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!4LZhcxSZUPJ6ed9f2VGJ57qFGnuNsTQUQBJPw2zpo40rxoTeYgBKyS93goxCIME3VUPYwXKB6= zS0o9kQtHktMCo-Bc4$ for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...OAX...TOP...ICT...OUN...GID...DDC...AMA...

    LAT...LON 36820041 36980058 37420042 37830019 38439999 39189897
    39859815 40029754 40019697 40009617 39159670 37859736
    37089814 36799917 36749969 36720003 36820041=20


    =3D =3D =3D
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