• MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 2186

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Sat Sep 23 20:41:41 2023
    ACUS11 KWNS 232041
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 232041=20
    MOZ000-KSZ000-232215-

    Mesoscale Discussion 2186
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0341 PM CDT Sat Sep 23 2023

    Areas affected...Northeast/East-Central KS...Northwest/West-Central
    MO

    Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 690...

    Valid 232041Z - 232215Z

    The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 690
    continues.

    SUMMARY...Threat for thunderstorms capable of large hail and
    damaging gusts continues across Severe Thunderstorm Watch #690.

    DISCUSSION...An outflow-reinforced boundary currently arcs from a
    surface low over northeast KS eastward into west-central MO. Modest
    low-level warm advection and moisture convergence persist in the
    vicinity of this boundary, with recent visible satellite imagery
    depicting an area of deeper cumulus development just north of OWI
    (or about 35 miles southwest of OJC) in east-central KS. Overall
    thermodynamic environment across the region remains supportive
    additional development in the vicinity of this boundary,
    particularly if low-level moisture convergence persists. Moderate
    vertical shear supports organized storm structures, with the threat
    for large hail and strong gusts persisting, particularly across
    central and southern portions of Severe Thunderstorm Watch #690.

    ..Mosier.. 09/23/2023

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!4gndjnzsK_AAtaCBQZsNFe2iKAu_eePBom1hnsisfIHbsm5JCgYbJBCIkPrV63IkDm2znjNuX= nDiGCAzaB64I-28Bsk$ for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...SGF...EAX...TOP...ICT...

    LAT...LON 39509493 40009437 40049305 39589262 38009351 37889484
    38389564 39509493=20


    =3D =3D =3D
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