ACUS11 KWNS 060012
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 060011=20
MOZ000-KSZ000-060215-

Mesoscale Discussion 2088
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0711 PM CDT Tue Sep 05 2023

Areas affected...extreme southeast KS...southwest into central MO

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 671...

Valid 060011Z - 060215Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 671
continues.

SUMMARY...Widely scattered severe thunderstorms will be capable of
large hail/gusts. Forecast peak hazard intensities through 9pm:=20
max hail size 1.50 to 1.75 inches in diameter, 70-80 mph gusts.

DISCUSSION...Widely scattered thunderstorms have recently developed
along a cold front extending from western MO south-southwestward
into extreme southeast KS. Very warm temperatures into the low to
mid 90s are immediately ahead of the storm activity.=20=20

Short-term model guidance indicates storms will gradually increase
in coverage over the Ozarks this evening in the form of a couple of thunderstorm bands as additional cold pool consolidation occurs.=20
The stronger storms will likely continue to pose a risk for large
hail this evening along with severe gusts. The severe risk will
probably transition to mainly a damaging-wind risk by late evening
coincident with lessening buoyancy and upscale growth into linear
modes less favorable for hail growth.

..Smith.. 09/06/2023

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!5gxxSW4wr1ueBZX-abKiTU8OR8lGOhNuWR-cPLOInChQg4Q_ryQvt1tSiuWFUGmPE3tYDM4OU= qOlsiSLLr1Ksl-Kdmc$ for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...LSX...SGF...EAX...ICT...

LAT...LON 37049547 37679473 38839393 39349326 39419278 39249232
38969214 37039403 37049547=20


=3D =3D =3D
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