• MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1978

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Sun Aug 13 02:12:45 2023
    ACUS11 KWNS 130212
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 130212=20
    PAZ000-MDZ000-WVZ000-VAZ000-130345-

    Mesoscale Discussion 1978
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0912 PM CDT Sat Aug 12 2023

    Areas affected...northern WV...western MD and southern PA

    Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 639...

    Valid 130212Z - 130345Z

    The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 639
    continues.

    SUMMARY...Strong to severe storms should continue for a few more
    hours with a risk for damaging gusts and isolated hail.

    DISCUSSION...Across WW639, several clusters of strong to severe
    storms are expected to persist for a few more hours tonight. The
    environment remains broadly favorable for severe weather as storms
    track to the southeast across far southern PA, northern WV and
    western MD. Storms have taken on a general linear mode, suggesting
    damaging gusts are the primary risk for the remainder of tonight.
    However, isolated hail is also possible, but more uncertain given
    the trend away from supercell structures over the last couple of
    hours. Given recent HRRR and radar trends, the highest confidence in
    severe potential is expected over northern WV and the MD Panhandle
    for the next couple of hours.

    ..Lyons.. 08/13/2023

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!4tcOVnJ40peidtLd1Fya0FpFtXFmlROcE4tp_W3embcxsuVUFV0pBP5_bHBrxUkArDA50dO4s= jweTqcgwf5BUY0GQlc$ for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...CTP...LWX...PBZ...RLX...

    LAT...LON 38967890 38847950 38798016 38778054 38818100 39088116
    39628052 40197887 40427796 40067768 39587781 39417809
    39067874 38967890=20


    =3D =3D =3D
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