ACUS11 KWNS 082312
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 082312=20
NEZ000-KSZ000-COZ000-SDZ000-WYZ000-090115-

Mesoscale Discussion 1910
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0612 PM CDT Tue Aug 08 2023

Areas affected...Central High Plains

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 614...

Valid 082312Z - 090115Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 614
continues.

SUMMARY...Scattered severe thunderstorms will spread across
eastern/southern portions of ww614 over the next several hours.

DISCUSSION...Seasonally strong short-wave trough has advanced into
western WY/eastern UT early this evening. Large-scale ascent is
spreading across the High Plains which appears partly responsible
for recent upscale growth of convection across the NE Panhandle into
northeast CO. Initial supercell activity is beginning to evolve into
a squall line which should propagate southeast along an instability
axis characterized by MLCAPE in excess of 2500 J/kg. Very large hail
is likely occurring with lone supercell over Yuma County CO, but
wind may become more likely with time with the developing linear
MCS.

..Darrow.. 08/08/2023

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!8W3l-oPnCK-jX9dzWbff9oVZIg3XwStbIBulph_B-MoyHuQ5HTq2WQkDrGaGJFECFPUo2gM7e= 33s1IrNVn1huPWovZw$ for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...LBF...UNR...GLD...BOU...CYS...

LAT...LON 39170466 43070465 42920099 39030100 39170466=20


=3D =3D =3D
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