ACUS11 KWNS 052222
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 052222=20
KSZ000-052345-

Mesoscale Discussion 1849
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0522 PM CDT Sat Aug 05 2023

Areas affected...Western KS

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible=20

Valid 052222Z - 052345Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...60 percent

SUMMARY...Strong/severe thunderstorms will spread/develop east
across CO into western KS this evening. Hail/wind are the primary
threats.

DISCUSSION...Central High Plains short-wave trough currently extends
across the NE Panhandle into eastern CO. Thunderstorms have been
gradually increasing ahead of this feature within a corridor of
seasonally strong buoyancy, especially from Yuma to Pueblo County
Colorado. Latest satellite imagery suggests an agitated cu field
within the boundary layer across northwestern KS with several
deepening towers over Gove/Trego County region. 35-50kt 500mb flow
across CO into KS favors eastward propagation over the next few
hours. Given the air mass currently observed over the central High
Plains, new severe thunderstorm watch appears warranted.

..Darrow/Mosier.. 08/05/2023

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!5Jdbl8e4bnA2Z-Ozo_4N89156_earsFCDcNxs3H57jvNK1vqtXtkMJCBro6GDz6TVHS2pA1jW= nXmjjj5KUklyFQQXvQ$ for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...DDC...GLD...

LAT...LON 37370200 39780175 39499969 37210049 37370200=20


=3D =3D =3D
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