ACUS11 KWNS 050915
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 050914 COR
OKZ000-KSZ000-051115-
Mesoscale Discussion 1841
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0414 AM CDT Sat Aug 05 2023
Areas affected...Southern Kansas...Northern Oklahoma
Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible=20
Valid 050914Z - 051115Z
CORRECTED FOR WORDING
Probability of Watch Issuance...60 percent
SUMMARY...An isolated wind-damage threat will likely continue across
parts of southern Kansas and northern Oklahoma over the next few
hours. Weather watch issuance may be needed.
DISCUSSION...The latest high-resolution radar imagery from Wichita,
Kansas shows a developing linear MCS over northwest Oklahoma and
southwest Kansas. This line will continue to move eastward along an
axis of moderate instability, where the RAP has MLCAPE in the 1500
to 2000 J/kg range. The convective system is being supported by a
shortwave trough evident on water vapor imagery. In addition, the
WSR-88D VWP near Wichita has 0-6 km shear around 35 knots with
directional shear in the lowest 3 km above ground level. This wind
profile will likely support a continued potential for wind damage as
the MCS moves eastward over the next few hours.
..Broyles/Grams.. 08/05/2023
...Please see
https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!8ZKJmdsMekRJisfYF11aaeK9pTcIMvXPR6tMRoz90refSZB9Htu_o3VAxtnqoZWd4MVmbzqcI= 2GnqbJwIpPQtnKAbJ0$ for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...SGF...TSA...ICT...OUN...DDC...
LAT...LON 37379940 37809912 37999795 37799603 37499531 36899498
36289506 35939598 36149718 36449886 36519923 36829941
37379940=20
=3D =3D =3D
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