• MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1817

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Thu Aug 3 02:37:06 2023
    ACUS11 KWNS 030237
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 030236=20
    COZ000-030400-

    Mesoscale Discussion 1817
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0936 PM CDT Wed Aug 02 2023

    Areas affected...portions of the Front Range from Denver to Colorado
    Springs

    Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely=20

    Valid 030236Z - 030400Z

    Probability of Watch Issuance...5 percent

    SUMMARY...There will be some threat for damaging wind gusts for the
    next 1 to 2 hours.

    DISCUSSION...A cluster of storms which formed over the mountains has
    had severe wind gusts at Fort Carson and Colorado Springs in the
    last hour. These storms are currently receiving some boost from
    strengthening and deepening upslope flow (per FTG VWP). Current
    radar shows this storm activity is outflow dominant, and expect this
    trend to mostly continue given the relatively weak shear in the
    region. However, there will be a brief window in the next 60 to 90
    minutes for a continued threat of damaging wind gusts. This will
    result from ongoing storm collapse and from outflow boundary
    interaction between the ongoing storms and a southwestward moving
    outflow boundary from earlier convection in northeast Colorado.
    Better low-level moisture and greater instability exists across far
    eastern Colorado, but increasing inhibition should limit the threat
    of this storm cluster persisting into eastern Colorado.

    ..Bentley/Mosier.. 08/03/2023

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!6HRsexVezzVx9aHOFlidlpokWOc2BlKFQe6E_qREggSXPPcWYBp2OgMXN66tvrSnftOMVcFpd= TQ1y3_NvSnDEsdBblM$ for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...GLD...PUB...BOU...

    LAT...LON 38450453 38790484 39300510 39520526 39770522 40060485
    40050405 39270351 38560310 38180331 38100386 38110429
    38450453=20


    =3D =3D =3D
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