ACUS11 KWNS 011858
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 011858=20
NCZ000-SCZ000-GAZ000-012030-
Mesoscale Discussion 1805
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0158 PM CDT Tue Aug 01 2023
Areas affected...South Carolina into southern North Carolina
Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely=20
Valid 011858Z - 012030Z
Probability of Watch Issuance...5 percent
SUMMARY...A couple of damaging gusts are possible this afternoon.
Severe potential is isolated and a WW issuance is not anticipated.
DISCUSSION...Surface temperatures are rising into the upper 80s F
amid near 70F dewpoints, with convective temperatures being reached,
supporting thunderstorm initiation (evident via NLDN data showing
lightning flashes along the NC/SC border). Though mid-level lapse
rates are mediocre, rich low-level moisture supports 1500 J/kg of
tall/thin MLCAPE. When also considering elongated hodographs (and
resultant 30+ kts of effective bulk shear), multicellular storms may
develop, supporting the risk of isolated damaging gusts. Given the
sparse severe threat, a WW issuance is not expected.
..Squitieri/Thompson.. 08/01/2023
...Please see
https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!_W6S06dLj-JmBBFPRFCz6ziCXVApxOCi8svgawKjyVD74q2pCvI8kjtiJhv3TDRgsEU3jNITr= 7uzh7BPAVyNjDRLWug$ for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...RAH...ILM...CHS...CAE...FFC...
LAT...LON 33178234 33698202 34308100 34648006 34767886 34667801
34437783 34077798 33297891 32977954 32758007 32618087
32608159 33178234=20
=3D =3D =3D
To unsubscribe from WX-STORM and you already have a login, go to
https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link. Otherwise email Chris Novy at
cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-STORM.
--- SBBSecho 3.14-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (1:2320/105)