• MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1774

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Sat Jul 29 19:19:30 2023
    ACUS11 KWNS 291919
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 291918=20
    KYZ000-INZ000-ILZ000-TNZ000-MOZ000-292115-

    Mesoscale Discussion 1774
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0218 PM CDT Sat Jul 29 2023

    Areas affected...central Missouri into southern Illinois and westerm
    Kentucky

    Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 567...

    Valid 291918Z - 292115Z

    The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 567
    continues.

    SUMMARY...Risk for damaging winds continues across the WW area, and
    will likely expand east/southeast of the watch later this afternoon.
    This may require additional/downstream WW issuance.

    DISCUSSION...Latest radar loop shows a still-organized/bowing band
    of severe storms moving across parts of northern and central
    Missouri at this time. The convection is moving through a
    moderately unstable airmass -- where mixed-layer CAPE as high as
    3000 J/kg is indicated. A similar airmass extends east into
    southern Illinois and western Kentucky, which suggests that storms
    should continue moving east-southeastward, and eventually move out
    of the current bounds of WW 567. With storms likely to maintain
    organization, and thus severe risk to continue, a new/downstream WW
    will likely/eventually need to be considered.

    ..Goss.. 07/29/2023

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!_4GpOL-00-VHI_Pl-30xOjJz2aTw9U1Uj8SAATyaOIIdTMXTcH7bWku9FA9XhaO3bmaII0yPQ= kOxDFWa0XEaT66e-eE$ for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...LMK...OHX...IND...PAH...ILX...LSX...SGF...EAX...

    LAT...LON 38249268 38869200 39099182 39979238 39138780 36828652
    36548878 38249268=20


    =3D =3D =3D
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