ACUS11 KWNS 291604
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 291604=20
ILZ000-MOZ000-KSZ000-291800-

Mesoscale Discussion 1771
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1104 AM CDT Sat Jul 29 2023

Areas affected...Missouri

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 566...

Valid 291604Z - 291800Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 566
continues.

SUMMARY...Bowing band of thunderstorms now crossing northwestern
Missouri should continue moving east-southeastward. Continued risk
for damaging wind gusts will likely warrant new/downstream WW
shortly.

DISCUSSION...Latest radar loop shows a well-organized/bowing band of
convection crossing northwestern Missouri, which continues to
produce severe-caliber wind gusts.=20

Ahead of the storms, the airmass continues to destabilize, with an
axis of 1500 J/kg mixed-layer CAPE now extending east-southeastward
across central Missouri, along the surface baroclinic zone. Given
the available instability, it appears that this MCS will continue
through this afternoon, along with continued risk for damaging wind
gusts. As such, new WW issuance will be required.

..Goss.. 07/29/2023

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!_qgj5DktuGoQL9uajLwbkjVyVGMxsud_iZoXfpoZiu49ZU8-3mcziSSHYgLRtHdB3bXh26TuU= 3ai8r1fp6clOXulw60$ for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...PAH...LSX...SGF...EAX...

LAT...LON 38359395 39139464 39819427 40559459 40479368 39759105
38559031 37689031 37269064 37969299 38359395=20


=3D =3D =3D
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