ACUS11 KWNS 282136
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 282135=20
KSZ000-NEZ000-290000-

Mesoscale Discussion 1756
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0435 PM CDT Fri Jul 28 2023

Areas affected...north-central Kansas toward the Nebraska border

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely=20

Valid 282135Z - 290000Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent

SUMMARY...A few storms may reach severe levels producing locally
damaging gusts or hail. Overall storm coverage is not expected to
warrant a watch.

DISCUSSION...A very hot air mass has developed over KS and into
southern NE, south of a stationary front. Isolated cells have
already developed on the nose of the heat plume where convergence is
maximized toward the boundary. Visible imagery shows additional
towering CU farther south into across KS, and additional cells are
expected there. Weak shear and inverted-V type profiles will favor
robust but short-lived updrafts, briefly producing hail and then
collapsing. Localized wind damage may occur with the stronger cells.

..Jewell/Grams.. 07/28/2023

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!87MebFWCYP9-N8fNj3fhPX90f-d2SuUZ1jxyB_41axHCVGdmm8_JHpR5UG9q7pK02lCLMtRHD= cgH9HjeygjmTZ4lFLY$ for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...OAX...TOP...ICT...GID...DDC...GLD...

LAT...LON 39519963 39789901 39989859 40169799 40199762 39909693
39439662 38909683 38789762 38749868 38779970 39029987
39519963=20


=3D =3D =3D
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