ACUS11 KWNS 262146
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 262146=20
WYZ000-262315-

Mesoscale Discussion 1732
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0446 PM CDT Wed Jul 26 2023

Areas affected...portions of central Wyoming

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely=20

Valid 262146Z - 262315Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...5 percent

SUMMARY...A few more severe gusts may occur with ongoing storms
across central WY. The severe threat should remain isolated and a
Severe Thunderstorm Watch issuance is unlikely.

DISCUSSION...A semi-organized cluster of pulse-cellular storms have
produced measured severe gusts over the past few hours and is poised
to progress eastward atop a heated, well-mixed boundary layer. MRMS
mosaic radar imagery shows a slight increase in the intensity of
storm cores, and 21Z mesoanalysis shows boundary-layer lapse rates
exceeding 9.8 C/km in some locales. As such, severe gusts should
remain a concern through the rest of the afternoon until
boundary-layer stabilization sets in during the evening. Severe
gusts should by isolated, so a WW issuance is not expected.

..Squitieri/Grams.. 07/26/2023

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!6dwT3KcAnuUo3FG_IykuhtHkkgEiDsDJPGgr31lMXyLpqWlrJwxgceQeuTJGT_wC7z8UtkcJ6= A3K-RSz0ldNZ9PbQQI$ for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...UNR...CYS...RIW...

LAT...LON 43580850 44010820 44230733 44340545 44180486 43500473
42780532 42420630 42310691 42340756 42330789 42520804
43580850=20


=3D =3D =3D
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