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  • MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1729

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Wed Jul 26 20:38:32 2023
    ACUS11 KWNS 262038
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 262037=20
    KSZ000-NEZ000-COZ000-WYZ000-262230-

    Mesoscale Discussion 1729
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0337 PM CDT Wed Jul 26 2023

    Areas affected...northeastern Colorado...far southeastern
    Wyoming...far southwestern Nebraska...northwestern Kansas

    Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible=20

    Valid 262037Z - 262230Z

    Probability of Watch Issuance...60 percent

    SUMMARY...Severe potential increasing into the afternoon/evening.

    DISCUSSION...Thunderstorm activity has been ongoing across the Front
    Range and areas just west and south of the Denver Metro. Dew points
    within this region are generally in the mid 40s to 50s. High-based
    convection is expected to gradually shift into the plains through
    the evening, where a more moist and unstable air mass is available.
    This may lead to a more organized severe threat later for
    northeastern Colorado/far southeastern Wyoming persisting into
    southwestern Nebraska and northwestern Kansas later this evening.
    The main threats would be damaging winds, given "inverted V"
    thermodynamic profiles. Hodographs are generally straight with deep
    layer shear around 40 kts which may support a few isolated instances
    of large hail early on. Trends will be monitored for potential watch
    issuance over the next few hours.

    ..Thornton/Hart.. 07/26/2023

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!-bTUhvGiSupAV0jHFBXcs2I1ukuactJmIN7W4XIRcmjzb1r-cStO4A7UUBBvDucX_xWqmGDZy= rDf7Y-A49iQonnycTs$ for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...LBF...GLD...PUB...BOU...CYS...

    LAT...LON 39530518 40060541 40500555 40700557 40990554 41170528
    41290472 41330402 41340345 41310280 41250216 41110177
    40910133 40600097 40120067 39790057 39460060 39420062
    38960088 38700117 38670145 38620178 38600312 38540348
    38520383 38530407 38630430 38800463 38960485 39530518=20


    =3D =3D =3D
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