ACUS11 KWNS 261003
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 261003=20
WIZ000-261130-

Mesoscale Discussion 1721
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0503 AM CDT Wed Jul 26 2023

Areas affected...Central and Eastern WI

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely=20

Valid 261003Z - 261130Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent

SUMMARY...Isolated gusts may continue, but limited coverage of
severe-caliber gust will preclude the need for a downstream watch.

DISCUSSION...Convective complex continues to push across southwest
WI. This complex continues to show a well-developed rear-inflow jet,
with recent velocity data sampling 40 to 50 kt at 3 kft across a
large part of Juneau County. However, low-level stability continues
to prevent the strongest rear-inflow from reaching the surface, with
consistent gusts near 40 kt throughout its duration thus far. LSE
and VOK measured 39 and 37 kt, respectively, as the line moved
through. The overall low-level thermodynamic environment downstream
shows similar, or even stronger, stability. As such, the trend of
sub-severe gusts is expected to persist, precluding the need for a
downstream watch.

..Mosier/Edwards.. 07/26/2023

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!6CHLZmDw3R8wT5qoHtURIS_zDfs-JskEBbfFLYstp4EYWO5Qw6xd4BNzlsJBTXnx9iM4yI2nH= 7HvymorktK0ImKQ2zw$ for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...GRB...MKX...ARX...

LAT...LON 44329017 44588991 44488894 43658845 43218902 43138988
43529017 43969014 44329017=20


=3D =3D =3D
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