ACUS11 KWNS 260248
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 260248=20
INZ000-ILZ000-260415-

Mesoscale Discussion 1713
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0948 PM CDT Tue Jul 25 2023

Areas affected...portions of central and eastern Illinois

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely=20

Valid 260248Z - 260415Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...5 percent

SUMMARY...A couple instances of severe hail may accompany the
stronger storms this evening. The severe threat should remain
isolated and a WW issuance is not expected.

DISCUSSION...Multiple (likely elevated multicell) storms have
developed along the nose of a strong 850 mb WAA regime, with MRMS
mosaic radar imagery showing 30 dBZ echo tops reaching 60 kft and
MESH exceeding 1 inch in diameter. Given the continued low-level WAA
this evening, these storms may continue to support an isolated hail
risk through the evening. Since the severe threat should remain
sparse, a Severe Thunderstorm Watch issuance is not expected.

..Squitieri.. 07/26/2023

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!8_an3WS0gE-Lb5HiVSXx-bKtYxP8cJm_CErAChO3eGjxU2GLA3vzYYjKY3IJUDb7Q7HHozW1e= 32PbW7_nxKaR9-hS6Y$ for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...IND...LOT...ILX...LSX...

LAT...LON 39248929 39958900 40398871 40538824 40378762 40028740
39508739 39148757 39098795 39058876 39248929=20


=3D =3D =3D
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