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  • MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1695

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Mon Jul 24 18:50:13 2023
    ACUS11 KWNS 241850
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 241849=20
    OHZ000-KYZ000-INZ000-242045-

    Mesoscale Discussion 1695
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0149 PM CDT Mon Jul 24 2023

    Areas affected...northern Kentucky...Southeastern
    Indiana...Southwestern Ohio

    Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible=20

    Valid 241849Z - 242045Z

    Probability of Watch Issuance...60 percent

    SUMMARY...Severe risk increasing into the afternoon/evening. This
    area is being monitored for a watch over the next couple of hours.

    DISCUSSION...Cell development is ongoing across portions of the Ohio
    Valley. Daytime heating and dew points in the upper 60s to 70s has
    yielded MLCAPE values around 1000-2500 J/kg. Given the unstable air
    mass, a few pulse severe storms may develop ahead of the more
    widespread risk late afternoon/early evening. These may pose a risk
    of isolated damaging wind and large hail. Forcing remains weak but
    an upstream impulse will track across the Ohio Valley this afternoon
    leading to an increase in thunderstorm coverage. As thunderstorm
    coverage increases, potential for more a organized damaging wind
    threat will also increase. This area is being monitored for a watch
    over the next couple of hours.

    ..Thornton/Hart.. 07/24/2023

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!6zZbJSJETyECcaZkV9VGoMyeDyYiKA50ilEFuHOY6bfspsfPYGc57ZgbzfdwclE09mi0bmrN7= 5DEf8ItGW5nE-WMqvc$ for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...RLX...CLE...JKL...ILN...LMK...IWX...IND...

    LAT...LON 39758659 40068611 40318560 40528513 40678476 40798417
    40848337 40648279 40458260 40208242 39888236 39628238
    39198255 38888280 38568304 38198343 37958380 37818419
    37698460 37648489 37658504 37718551 37758580 37848605
    38098635 38168646 38378663 38638676 38828680 39048681
    39208684 39758659=20


    =3D =3D =3D
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