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  • MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1657

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Fri Jul 21 02:28:49 2023
    ACUS11 KWNS 210228
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 210228=20
    OKZ000-KSZ000-TXZ000-COZ000-NMZ000-210400-

    Mesoscale Discussion 1657
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0928 PM CDT Thu Jul 20 2023

    Areas affected...Southeast Colorado...far southwest
    Kansas...Oklahoma Panhandle...far northern Texas Panhandle...far
    northwest Oklahoma

    Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 526...527...

    Valid 210228Z - 210400Z

    The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 526, 527
    continues.

    SUMMARY...Severe wind gusts (up to 75 mph) remain possible as
    cold-pool organization continues in southeast Colorado.

    DISCUSSION...Convection continues to grow upscale on southeast
    Colorado this evening. A small complex is now moving southeast near Springfield, CO into along the axis of greatest MLCAPE. While some
    MLCIN is developing, temperatures remain in the low 80S F with
    dewpoints in the low 70s F. This suggest that MLCIN will not become
    substantial in the short term, which is also suggested by RAP
    forecast soundings into mid/late evening. Another complex in
    east-central Colorado/west-central Kansas also is moving southeast.
    This activity is moving into cooler air/outflow and will likely be
    more marginally severe as a result. This weaker complex could merge
    with activity in southeast Colorado and provide additional
    acceleration east/southeast. The primary corridor for severe winds
    (up to around 75 mph) will be through parts of the combined
    Panhandles into northwest Oklahoma.

    ..Wendt.. 07/21/2023

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!-IEQ1qKAGSX88Fgx3oGBdLRATTqEnoMxmsYwpG1efpqgyUqHvlFQoStJg9ZjdG5YAxl29pqxg= 0H3rh0F2qoAmGfoA_I$ for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...OUN...DDC...AMA...PUB...ABQ...

    LAT...LON 37440333 37590335 37750316 37850257 37790213 37310102
    37109990 37089936 37069894 36989855 36769836 36519841
    36389861 36209902 36109985 36110077 36190164 36470257
    37050315 37440333=20


    =3D =3D =3D
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