ACUS11 KWNS 192340
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 192340=20
WIZ000-MNZ000-200115-

Mesoscale Discussion 1636
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0640 PM CDT Wed Jul 19 2023

Areas affected...Parts of the Coulee Region into central Wisconsin

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely=20

Valid 192340Z - 200115Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent

SUMMARY...A few stronger storms could persist into parts of central
Wisconsin. A downstream watch is not anticipated this evening.

DISCUSSION...Convection across eastern Minnesota into northwest
Wisconsin remains generally loosely organized. The strongest storm
is a supercell north of Chetek, WI moving southeastward. That
particular storm has a history of producing hail (reports ranging
from 1-2 inches). As storms continue into parts of central
Wisconsin, the overall intensity is expected to decrease as the low
levels are cooler and drier. The strongest storms may persist into
this environment for an hour or two. With the severe threat expected
to become increasingly more isolated with time, an additional
downstream watch is not expected this evening. Convective trends
will continue to be monitored, however.

..Wendt/Edwards.. 07/19/2023

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!98padg7Z_swFs_wBcqu2Yh4kMyU5aFkSWr47gBNGeg_Vb6NLXi-qant8krLkFJgFv8ZPl3XcZ= enU76AxTwnLnVLPkpU$ for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...GRB...ARX...

LAT...LON 45038938 44169055 43949169 44029222 44149234 44449180
44579089 44749073 44799063 45259002 45378988 45418964
45038938=20


=3D =3D =3D
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