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  • MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1554

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Fri Jul 14 22:47:13 2023
    ACUS11 KWNS 142247
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 142246=20
    MOZ000-KSZ000-150015-

    Mesoscale Discussion 1554
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0546 PM CDT Fri Jul 14 2023

    Areas affected...Southeast Kansas into southwest Missouri

    Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 491...493...

    Valid 142246Z - 150015Z

    The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 491, 493
    continues.

    SUMMARY...An intense bowing segment has continued to report measures
    severe wind gusts over the past hour. This activity will continue
    into southwest Missouri. Despite some less favorable thermodynamics
    downstream, the threat for wind damage and severe gusts will persist
    for a few more hours.

    DISCUSSION...An intense bowing segment in southeast Kansas will
    continue into southwest Missouri. Recent ASOS observations from
    Chanute, KS measured 60 kts and the Yates Center, KS mesonet site
    measured 73 kts, both near the apex of the bow. The downstream
    environment will remain favorable in southeast Kansas. Greater
    uncertainty exists into southwest Missouri where outflow has
    impacted the overall surface-based instability. Temperatures have
    risen into the upper 80s/lower 90s F and objective analysis has
    indicated some increase in MLCAPE as a result, however. Given the
    storm-scale organization, the threat for wind damage and severe wind
    gusts will likely continue even with slightly less favorable
    thermodynamics.

    ..Wendt.. 07/14/2023

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!4gro7elN0YcifEZGSrT7Trki7uSMoyyyTxqi8DMbfvz3QYFy57GxPEkqkL6kcO32NDTGcBDcG= 81HFmjGFIBX-vFWkPI$ for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...SGF...EAX...TOP...ICT...

    LAT...LON 37459619 37689591 37879568 38309571 38269416 37749292
    37299267 37029305 36959411 37229560 37459619=20


    =3D =3D =3D
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