ACUS11 KWNS 142052
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 142052=20
MOZ000-ARZ000-OKZ000-KSZ000-142215-

Mesoscale Discussion 1551
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0352 PM CDT Fri Jul 14 2023

Areas affected...Portions of KS into western MO...northern OK...and northwestern AR

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 490...491...

Valid 142052Z - 142215Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 490, 491
continues.

SUMMARY...The threat for numerous severe wind gusts continues, some
of which may be 75+ mph. Downstream Severe Thunderstorm Watch
issuance into parts of northern Oklahoma and northwestern AR will
likely be needed.

DISCUSSION...Multiple severe bowing segments are ongoing this
afternoon from parts of south-central into eastern KS and far
west-central MO. The eastern cluster now approaching the Kansas City
metro has produced several measured and estimated severe wind gusts,
mostly in the 60-75 mph range, along with some damage reports. In
the short term, the airmass downstream of these clusters should
remain favorable for continued updraft intensity and damaging wind
potential. Eventually, the eastern cluster may encounter a somewhat
less favorable thermodynamic environment across southwestern MO and
vicinity, where convective overturning occurred earlier this
morning. The southern cluster in south-central to southeastern KS
should approach north-central into northeastern OK over the next
couple of hours, with around 2500-3000 J/kg of MLCAPE present across
this area. The threat for severe/damaging winds will likely extend
south of the ongoing Severe Thunderstorm Watches, and additional
watch issuance into parts of northern OK and northwestern AR will
likely be needed.

..Gleason/Bunting.. 07/14/2023

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!-mIuEBYGCYNEzYdq3pxQpa6fy2Wmmj5OnBO3u5GmR0OZ8RBpmLZhGF9oInIPArZCH6iieSQp8= ri5Dj_0TaB4UQQxo78$ for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...SGF...EAX...TSA...TOP...ICT...OUN...DDC...

LAT...LON 38019851 38289731 38789695 38899601 39019529 39359511
39589458 39449329 39009301 38239306 36739345 36189412
35889531 35899669 36199794 37509869 37789870 38019851=20


=3D =3D =3D
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