ACUS11 KWNS 050336
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 050336=20
MOZ000-KSZ000-NEZ000-050500-

Mesoscale Discussion 1428
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1036 PM CDT Tue Jul 04 2023

Areas affected...Parts of eastern Kansas and western MO

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 447...

Valid 050336Z - 050500Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 447
continues.

SUMMARY...The potential for severe winds accompanying a
southeastward-advancing MCS continues tonight, and a new watch
downstream of Severe Thunderstorm Watch 447 may be needed.

DISCUSSION...Over the past 30 minutes, a line of storms has
re-organized into a southeastward-advancing MCS across northeastern
Kansas -- with a forward motion of around 30 kt. Several gusts up to
70 mph have been reported with this activity. As the line of storms
continues to intercept a 30-kt southerly low-level jet (sampled by
regional VWP), the line should maintain intensity despite modest
deep-layer shear -- with a corresponding risk of gusts up to 70 mph.
Convective trends will be monitored for an additional watch
downstream of Severe Thunderstorm Watch 447.

..Weinman/Hart.. 07/05/2023

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!4nWyZzPxftO_dcsYJNPOvHNTIf1SU6xScUMVg-6-WyOlt_Ks47Aikx0F3dLd_gqAnj0sMa9FR= uxr2T4jd0hq3qlIY-I$ for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...SGF...EAX...OAX...TOP...ICT...

LAT...LON 38389842 38999751 39679637 40009560 40099522 40079458
39969420 39749383 39449368 38929361 38489372 37969419
37479503 37199591 37119662 37109717 37159762 37309793
37539820 37919838 38119839 38389842=20


=3D =3D =3D
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