• MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1429

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Wed Jul 5 05:49:03 2023
    ACUS11 KWNS 050548
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 050548=20
    MOZ000-KSZ000-050715-

    Mesoscale Discussion 1429
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    1248 AM CDT Wed Jul 05 2023

    Areas affected...Portions of eastern/southeastern KS and western MO

    Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 448...

    Valid 050548Z - 050715Z

    The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 448
    continues.

    SUMMARY...An MCS should continue to produce 55-70 mph wind gusts for
    a couple more hours as it moves southeastward.

    DISCUSSION...Multiple measured severe wind gusts from 58-67 mph have
    recently been observed with an organized line of convection across
    far eastern into southeastern KS and western MO. Outflow from these thunderstorms has started to surge out well ahead of reflectivities
    across parts of southeastern KS. The southern portion of the line
    may slowly weaken and tend to become more elevated in response. The
    northern half of the MCS is now crossing the KS/MO line, with
    enhanced velocities noted on area radars. Severe/damaging winds
    around 55-70 mph should continue to be a threat in the short term
    across far eastern KS into western MO, as the downstream airmass
    appears to be sufficiently unstable to support surface-based
    convection for at least a couple more hours. Given current trends,
    some expansion in area for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 448 may need to
    be considered in parts of west-central MO.

    ..Gleason.. 07/05/2023

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!7C69GGasuLiUPyeLLNIYE7scwapyq5UTZ0sMzO86yTx6gt6D9Uk-GtAnnIosuoDMXhzox4WN2= 1Eg4x5e5vFI_76oSqY$ for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...SGF...EAX...TOP...ICT...

    LAT...LON 38099705 38369598 38989515 39729459 39559333 38659345
    37369405 37089495 37049648 37489705 38099705=20


    =3D =3D =3D
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