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  • MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1411

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Mon Jul 3 20:50:02 2023
    ACUS11 KWNS 032049
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 032049=20 NJZ000-PAZ000-MDZ000-DEZ000-VAZ000-NCZ000-DCZ000-WVZ000-032245-

    Mesoscale Discussion 1411
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0349 PM CDT Mon Jul 03 2023

    Areas affected...Portion of the Mid-Atlantic

    Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 439...440...

    Valid 032049Z - 032245Z

    The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 439, 440
    continues.

    SUMMARY...Damaging winds will continue to be possible across much of
    the Mid-Atlantic the remainder of this afternoon. There remains some
    potential for convection within the northern Blue Ridge to intensify
    as it moves east.

    DISCUSSION...The strongest storms within the Mid-Atlantic region
    have been in the Virginia Beach, VA vicinity into northeast North
    Carolina. The organized cluster of storms there have produced wind
    damage reports. This activity may move offshore in the next 1-2
    hours. Convection has been more isolated in central Virginia, but
    MRMS radar has shown strong cores with some of these storms as they
    move eastward. The current activity will continue to pose a threat
    of damaging winds given the strong surface heating and steep
    low-level lapse rates.

    Earlier cloud cover has hindered convective development along
    northern portions of the Blue Ridge. As this cloud cover has
    dissipated, cumulus has become deeper in far northern
    Virginia/central Maryland. The moist airmass downstream will
    continue to destabilize over the next couple of hours. As such,
    eastern portions of Maryland into southern New Jersey should
    eventually get impacted by intensifying storms from the northern
    Blue Ridge along with storms moving in from central Virginia.

    ..Wendt.. 07/03/2023

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!-rH2Sgj3xouy4Fnb7OWfxiHuNoyznaJNmAbaXss4_Xegvq3pEAoiIx_kpRXSZn4cmSWZL0E-H= kdTDHN-hYYMW8s-UMo$ for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...PHI...AKQ...MHX...CTP...LWX...RNK...

    LAT...LON 37107825 37227857 37707862 38467850 38977832 39307816
    39707784 40167727 40447648 40337446 39697411 38517497
    36757571 35997573 35547603 35567659 35937686 36687704
    37037725 37137758 37107825=20


    =3D =3D =3D
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